Skip to content
Reembun
Retirement calculator icon
Finance

Retirement calculator

Project a retirement pot in today's money, see how much of it is growth rather than contributions, and estimate a sustainable income from it.

%

Nominal, before inflation.

%
%

The 4% rule is the usual starting point.


Pot at 65

$542,791.71

In today's money, after 3.0% inflation.

Sustainable income

$1,809.31

Per month, at a 4% withdrawal rate.

Years to retirement
35
You contribute
$235,000.00
Growth
$307,791.71
Growth share
57%
Annual income
$21,711.67
Real return used
3.88%

Because this is shown in today’s money, the real return used is 3.88%, not 7%. That comes from Fisher’s relation, which divides rather than subtracts, and it matters more the higher the rates get.


Balance by year

AgeBalanceGain that year
30$25,000.00n/a
31$32,096.30$7,096.30
32$39,473.14$7,376.84
33$47,141.62$7,668.48
34$55,113.26$7,971.64
35$63,400.04$8,286.79
36$72,014.44$8,614.39
37$80,969.39$8,954.95
38$90,278.37$9,308.98
39$99,955.36$9,676.99
40$110,014.93$10,059.56
41$120,472.18$10,457.25
42$131,342.85$10,870.67
43$142,643.27$11,300.43
44$154,390.44$11,747.17
45$166,602.03$12,211.58
46$179,296.38$12,694.35
47$192,492.58$13,196.21
48$206,210.48$13,717.90
49$220,470.70$14,260.22
50$235,294.68$14,823.98
51$250,704.71$15,410.03
52$266,723.95$16,019.24
53$283,376.49$16,652.54
54$300,687.37$17,310.88
55$318,682.61$17,995.24
56$337,389.27$18,706.66
57$356,835.47$19,446.20
58$377,050.46$20,214.98
59$398,064.61$21,014.16
60$419,909.53$21,844.92
61$442,618.07$22,708.53
62$466,224.36$23,606.29
63$490,763.89$24,539.53
64$516,273.55$25,509.67
65$542,791.71$26,518.16

The 4% rule is a rule of thumb, not a law. It comes from the Trinity study of historical US returns over 30-year retirements, and it assumes a particular asset mix and a particular country’s market history. Sequence-of-returns risk matters enormously once you are drawing down: a portfolio that falls early and recovers is worth far less than one that rises early and falls late, even at identical average returns. This model shows steady growth, which no real market provides.

Ready. Runs locally on your device.

Your files stay on your device. The tool works directly in your browser, using your device to process your files. Nothing is sent to our servers, and we never receive, store, or see your files or figures.

Share

Share this page

Share result

Your results

Use the tool above first. Whatever it works out shows up here, ready to copy or share.

Cite

Cite this page

Reembun. (2026, July 28). Retirement calculator. https://reembun.com/retirement-calculator
Pick a style, then copy the reference. The access date is today.

How to use it

  1. Enter where you are now

    Current age, retirement age, what you have saved so far and what you add each month.

  2. Set the assumptions

    Expected return is nominal, before inflation. The inflation figure is what keeps the projection honest.

  3. Switch to today's money

    Show in today's money converts the future balance into what it would buy now, which is the only figure worth planning against.

  4. Read the sustainable income

    Withdrawal rate turns the pot into an annual income. The 4% rule is the usual starting point, not a promise.

The projection

Compound growth with regular contributions:

A = P(1 + r/n)^(nt) + PMT × [ ((1 + r/n)^(nt) − 1) / (r/n) ]

where P is what you have saved, PMT the monthly contribution, r the annual return, n the compounding periods and t the years remaining.

Real returns, done properly

Showing a projection in future nominal money is close to useless. $2 million in 2060 means nothing without knowing what it buys. So the calculator works in today’s purchasing power using an inflation-adjusted return.

The correct relationship is Fisher’s, which divides rather than subtracts:

real rate = (1 + nominal) / (1 + inflation) − 1

At 7% nominal and 3% inflation that gives 3.88%, not 4%. The 0.12 percentage point difference is trivial in one year and worth several per cent of the final pot over thirty.

A worked example

Age 30, retiring at 65, $25,000 saved, $500 a month, 7% nominal return, 3% inflation:

NominalToday’s money
Pot at 65$1,143,000$407,000
You contributed$235,000$235,000
Growth$908,000$172,000

The nominal figure looks transformative and the real figure looks merely solid. The real figure is the one that tells you what your retirement will actually feel like, and the gap between them is why inflation deserves more attention than return assumptions usually get.

Time in the market

The single most consequential variable is how long the money compounds, not how much you put in.

Start atMonthlyTotal paid inReal pot at 65
25$400$192,000$379,000
35$600$216,000$310,000
45$1,000$240,000$216,000

Each saver pays in a similar amount. The one who started at 25 finishes with three quarters more than the one who started at 45, purely from twenty extra years of compounding.

Turning a pot into an income

The 4% rule comes from the Trinity study, which tested historical US withdrawal rates over 30-year retirements. It suggests withdrawing 4% in year one, then adjusting that amount for inflation each year.

Withdrawal rateIncome from $500,000
3%$15,000 a year
3.5%$17,500 a year
4%$20,000 a year
5%$25,000 a year

It is a heuristic derived from one country’s market history at one particular asset allocation. Longer retirements, different markets, higher fees and lower expected returns all argue for something below 4%.

What no calculator can model

Sequence-of-returns risk. A portfolio that falls 30% in your first two years of retirement and then recovers is worth far less to you than one that rises first and falls later, even at an identical average return. Withdrawals during a drawdown sell more units to raise the same cash.

Fees. A 1% annual platform and fund fee on the example above costs roughly $80,000 of the real final pot. Fees compound against you exactly as returns compound for you.

Tax. Contributions, growth and withdrawals are all taxed differently depending on the account type and the country, and the rules change over the decades this projection spans.

Use this to understand the shape of the problem: how much difference an extra decade or an extra hundred a month makes. For decisions, talk to a regulated financial adviser who can see your whole position.

Common questions

Why does the real return use division rather than subtraction?

Because Fisher's relation is (1+nominal)/(1+inflation)−1, not nominal minus inflation. At 7% return and 3% inflation the real rate is 3.88%, not 4%. The gap is small annually and compounds noticeably over thirty years, which is exactly the horizon this calculator covers.

What is the 4% rule?

A rule of thumb from the Trinity study of historical US market returns, suggesting that withdrawing 4% of a portfolio in the first year of retirement and adjusting for inflation thereafter survived most 30-year historical periods. It assumes a particular asset mix and one country's market history, and it is a starting point rather than a guarantee.

Should I model in today's money or future money?

Today's money, almost always. A projection saying you will have $2 million in 2060 is meaningless without knowing what $2 million buys then. Showing the figure in today's purchasing power makes it comparable to your current spending, which is the only way to judge whether it is enough.

What does this model get wrong?

It assumes steady returns, which no market provides. Sequence-of-returns risk, meaning the order in which gains and losses arrive, matters enormously once you are drawing down. It also excludes tax, platform fees, state pension entitlements and any change in your contribution rate.

Last reviewed